Fukushima death toll

What's the likely future death toll from Fukushima? According to Wikipedia:

There were no deaths caused by radiation exposure, while approximately 18,500 people died due to the earthquake and tsunami. Future cancer deaths from accumulated radiation exposures in the population living near Fukushima are predicted to be extremely low to none...two Stanford University professors, Mark Z. Jacobson and his colleague John Ten Hoeve, suggest that according to the linear no-threshold model (LNT model) the accident is most likely to cause an eventual total of 130 cancer deaths.

According to the article, the LNT model is considered to be overly pessimistic.

But aren't there other opinions? Well, yes, of course. Opinions are easy. Facts are harder. And it's hard to make predictions, especially about the future. Here's a paper that proposes that the death toll in the US may already exceed 14,000.

And this article critiques the poor science behind it and exposes the cherry picking of data. This graph is the smoking gun:

The Y-axis is the total number of infant deaths each week in the eight cities in question. While it certainly is true that there were fewer deaths in the four weeks leading up to Fukushima (in green) than there have been in the 10 weeks following (in red), the entire year has seen no overall trend. .... Only by explicitly excluding data from January and February were Sherman and Mangano able to froth up their specious statistical scaremongering.